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Scholars Journal of Physics, Mathematics and Statistics | Volume-10 | Issue-05
Data Forecasting and Comparative Analysis Using SIR Model for COVID-19 Outbreak in Bangladesh and India
Md. Imran Zahid, Abdullah Ahmed Foisal, Md. Mahmud Alam
Published: June 21, 2023 | 244 175
DOI: 10.36347/sjpms.2023.v10i05.002
Pages: 113-122
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Abstract
The aim of this paper is to analyze data and forecasting of the novel coronavirus (Covid-19) using the SIR model in Bangladesh and India. The recovery rate, growth rate, and percentage of daily increment for both countries have been computed. The basic reproduction rate was found to be larger than 1 in both countries. This present study analyzes actual data to predict future susceptibility, recovery, and death till the end of the year. The total deaths, daily deaths, total cases, and daily growth of the two countries for the first wave, and second wave of the Covid outbreak has been compared and shown graphically.