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Scholars Journal of Physics, Mathematics and Statistics | Volume-7 | Issue-06
Research on Forecasting the Number of Tourists in Anyang Based on Grey System GM (1, 1)
Yongwei Yang, Chaofang Ming, Qi Liu
Published: June 13, 2020 | 119 77
DOI: 10.36347/sjpms.2020.v07i06.001
Pages: 76-81
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Abstract
The scientific prediction of the number of tourists is of great significance for the rational planning of various relevant tourism departments and the formulation of various work. Based on the introduction of the current situation of the number of tourists in Anyang, the GM(1,1) model is established to predict the number of tourists. After testing, the prediction accuracy of the GM(1,1) model is higher, and the prediction results are closer to the real value, which can provide a reference for the actual prediction work. Finally, the grey GM(1,1) model is used to predict the number of tourists in Anyang from 2020 to 2023, and relevant countermeasures and suggestions for promoting the development of regional tourism are given.