DOI: 10.36347/sjet

Pages: 536-541

Take 120 the Electrical Submersible Pump (ESP)well as the object of study, has constructed based on 6 commonly used target return early warning models, then to dives the Electrical Submersible Pump breakdown well to carry on the forecast analysis.The findings indicated the model has the good forecast effect, forecast the rate of accuracy achieves 92.5%, may carry on the breakdown early warning well for the oil field enterprise interior, and provides the daily management and the policy-making basis for the oil field enterprise system.