DOI: 10.36344/ccijhss.2021.v07i05.003

Pages: 109-116

The virus that triggered a localised shock in China is now delivering a significant global tremor of which Pakistan has also become a victim. This study simulates the potential impact of COVID-19 on tourism and the economic condition of Pakistan. COVID-19 spread rapidly at the end of February 2020 in Pakistan and brought all economic activities on pause. Pakistan is the ideal destination for both local and foreign tourists. The partial lockdown is being imposed to avoid the spread of COVID-19; consequently all businesses, tours, domestic activities and supply chain disrupted and have the notable effect on retail and wholesale trade, transport section and communication the part of the service industry. The outbreak of pandemic COVID-19 in Pakistan can cause a decline in GDP by 1.57% on account of agriculture, travel and tourism, health and business and trade. This exercise is illustrative because it is still too early to make an informed assessment of the full impact of the pandemic. But it does convey the likely extent of impending global economic pain, especially for developing countries and their potential need for assistance.