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Scholars Journal of Economics, Business and Management | Volume-2 | Issue-07
The empirical analysis of Sino-US trade deficit and RMB appreciation
Yuhang Ye
Published: July 29, 2015 | 107 65
DOI: 10.36347/sjebm.2015.v02i07.002
Pages: 671-676
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Abstract
Based on VAR model, this paper uses time series data from 1985-2013 to study the impact of RMB’s appreciation on narrowing down Sino-US trade deficit. Empirical result shows that RMB appreciation has very limited impact on narrowing down Sino-US trade deficit and it has a J curve effect. In fact the huge Sino-US trade deficit is an inevitable result of international division of labor, US economic development pattern and protectionist trade policies. To effectively solve the huge Sino-US trade deficit, US should revive real economy, encourage savings and rational consumption, and relax trade control policy to expand export to China.