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Scholars Journal of Physics, Mathematics and Statistics | Volume-5 | Issue-02
On Question and Answer: HIV Modelling in Mathematical Epidemiology
Confess Matete, Justin Chirima
Published: March 30, 2018 |
113
69
DOI: 10.21276/sjpms.2018.5.2.1
Pages: 92-97
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Abstract
The basic reproduction number importantly summaries the dynamics
of an infectious disease in human populations. This parameter is called a threshold
parameter. For an infection to invade a population should be greater than 1. In
epidemiological studies, intervention seeks to lower the value of to below 1 so
that the disease dies out. However, simple modelling of malaria revealed that,
theoretically it is possible for an infection to persist indefinitely even if an intervention
has reduced below 1. If this happens, we call it bistable equilibrium. In this
work, we focused mainly on the analysis of the Disease-Free Equilibrium Point
[DFEP] to see the circumstances surrounding the propagation of an infectious disease.
We found that the disease dies out if the reproduction number is less than 1.